THE candidates for the Republican Party nomination participate in their third televised debate on October 28th. The race nationally still sees Donald Trump leading the polls though Ben Carson has surged into second place. Neither man fares particularly well in the PredictIt prediction market, which favours the establishment candidates, Marco Rubio and Jeb Bush. Yet Republican grandees are increasingly jittery about Mr Bush’s chances. Considered a shoo-in six months ago, he had an uninspiring third-quarter raising “hard cash” from individual donors (as opposed to the “soft cash” that political committees rake in). He pulled in less than Mr Carson, and not that much more than Ted Cruz. Last week Mr Bush had to sack some campaign workers and reduce the salaries he pays to advisers.

According to a recent study by Pew of likely primary voters, 65% of the Republican rank-and-file now want a candidate who offers “new ideas and a different approach” over “experience and a proven record”, up from 36% in March. That is bad news for Mr Bush, a former two-term governor of Florida. Those voters are less impressed with nuanced arguments from establishment types on topics like illegal immigration, which Mr Trump has made his signature issue. Self-identified conservative Republicans (69% of Pew’s survey) take an even harder line, and it is with this group that Mr Trump is staking his claim, for good reason.



Conservatives dominate the Republican primaries. In 2012 conservatives made up 84% of caucus-goers in Iowa (compared with 37% of the Iowan electorate in the November general election). However, this group includes a large swathe of evangelical Christians, who don’t always see eye-to-eye with Mr Trump but like Mr Carson’s religious bent. Recent polling shows Mr Carson taking the lead in Iowa.

Mr Trump is fighting hard. During an hour-long speech at a packed-out rally in Burlington, Iowa, on October 21st, he spoke of his “strong movement”, which used to be called the silent majority, but is “not silent” anymore. Republicans may eventually get bored with him, and come the winter they will focus laserlike on choosing the candidate who can best beat Hillary Clinton, the Democrat front-runner. [#ff0011]But Mr Trump doesn’t look like a candidate who is going to exit stage right anytime soon.[/#ff0011]

http://www.cbsmoto.com/the-battle-for-conservative-hearts-in-the-republican-race/

everyone, especially leftards predict he would not win the race in Republican, but he has an unyielding heart, this is the most important part
that anyone wants to be the president of USA, also it is a critical moment for choosing the [#ff0011]right[/#ff0011] one to fight the Islamic and terrorism, it is the last chance of the civilisation, and god bless America